For over five decades, scientists have been striving to predict Earth's future climate. The progress has been remarkable, yet the task is daunting. As global warming accelerates, our ability to ...

Climate scientists are confronting a hard truth: some of the most widely used models are struggling to keep up with the pace and texture of real‑world warming. The physics at their core remains sound, ...

Climate models are complex, just like the world they mirror. They simultaneously simulate the interacting, chaotic flow of Earth’s atmosphere and oceans, and they run on the world’s largest ...

Fifty years into the project of modeling Earth’s future climate, we still don’t really know what’s coming. Some places are warming with more ferocity than expected. Extreme events are taking ...

When a devastating heat wave, hurricane, flood or wildfire strikes, people often want to know: How much did human-caused ...

After a record fall, when nearly the entire United States experienced drought—unprecedented in US Drought Monitor history—water managers and planners nationwide are nervously hoping for a wet winter, ...