The record for most goals scored in a World Cup tournament is 172, but that could be broken by the time the group stages wrap ...

What are each national team’s chances of winning the World Cup? We’ve built a statistical model to try to answer that question rigorously. The model works in two steps: first we measure each team’s ...

The World Cup is turning prediction markets into a public ledger of million-dollar bets, exposing big wins and dramatic ...

Decades ago, Paul Erdős used randomness to illuminate the vast and weird world of networks. Now mathematicians are making his ...

In times past, when we wanted to know which team would win the World Cup, we had to turn to seers with crystal balls, use divination via tea leaves, or hope for Paul the Octopus to tell us what would ...

Prediction markets are moving into the mainstream, giving investors a new way to watch crowd expectations – and a risky way ...

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