The record for most goals scored in a World Cup tournament is 172, but that could be broken by the time the group stages wrap ...

Abstract: The Poisson-binomial probability density function (pdf) describes the numbers of successes in N independent trials, when the individual probabilities of success vary across trials. Its use ...

The word 'statistics' has two meanings—the use of numbers to describe whole patterns of activity (for example, baseball statistics), and the analytic methods that allow manipulation of such data. The ...

Abstract: A new method for nonintrusive elevator fault detection is presented. A computationally efficient algorithm for implementing the method is also proposed. The method is employed to detect when ...

What are each national team’s chances of winning the World Cup? We’ve built a statistical model to try to answer that question rigorously. The model works in two steps: first we measure each team’s ...

A team of astrophysicists has just published in Nature a finding that calls into question one of the pillars of modern ...

Kalshi published campaign-style updates on his odds, and Polymarket hosted multiple active markets on whether Pratt would ...

Decades ago, Paul Erdős used randomness to illuminate the vast and weird world of networks. Now mathematicians are making his ...

In times past, when we wanted to know which team would win the World Cup, we had to turn to seers with crystal balls, use divination via tea leaves, or hope for Paul the Octopus to tell us what would ...

Objective To investigate the association between attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and cardiometabolic risk profile at the time of type 2 diabetes (T2D) diagnosis and examine ...

What began with a focus on weather forecasting has evolved toward addressing errors in scientific modeling. In the collaborative environment of the Penn State Institute for Computational and Data ...