A.I.’s First Big Math Breakthrough Is Not What It Seems

Last month, OpenAI announced that its latest version of ChatGPT had solved a major math problem, one that had stumped experts ...
IEEE

Risk Probability Minimization Problems for Continuous-Time Markov Decision Processes on Finite Horizon

Abstract: This article deals with a risk probability minimization problem for finite horizon continuous-time Markov decision processes with unbounded transition rates and history-dependent policies.
Scientific American

How a Renaissance gambling dispute spawned probability theory

Imagine you and I decide to play a simple game of chance. We each throw $50 into a pot and start flipping a coin. Heads, you get a point; tails, I get one. The first person to reach 10 points walks ...
The Motley Fool

Inflation and Private Credit Are Flashing Warning Signs at the Same Time. Here Is What That Combination Could Mean for Your Portfolio.

Most corporate lending takes place in the public markets through bank loans or bonds, which can then be sold and traded. But there's another way for a business to access capital: Private credit from ...
Ars Technica

Ice Age dice show early Native Americans may have understood probability

Native Americans have been playing with dice in games of chance for more than 12,000 years, according to a new paper published in the journal American Antiquity. And the oldest examples of Native ...
Phys.org

Probability underlies much of the modern world—an engineering professor explains how it actually works

Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, "Probability is the most important concept in modern science, especially as nobody has the ...
Reason

How To Speed Up the Search for Cures Through a Change in Probability Theory

Marty Makary was appointed commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 2025. The prominent surgeon, medical researcher, bestselling author, and critic of the medical ...
IEEE

High-Probability Sample Complexities for Policy Evaluation With Linear Function Approximation

Abstract: This paper is concerned with the problem of policy evaluation with linear function approximation in discounted infinite horizon Markov decision processes ...
Investopedia

How to Use Bayesian Methods for Accurate Financial Forecasting

Daniel McNulty began writing for Investopedia in 2012. His work includes articles on financial analysis, asset allocation, and trading strategies. Marguerita is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP), ...
Reuters

VIEW US consumer prices increase less than expected in November

NEW YORK, Dec 18 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices rose less than expected in the year to November, and expectations for a January rate cut from the Federal Reserve inched up slightly as the report was ...
VentureBeat

AI agents fail 63% of the time on complex tasks. Patronus AI says its new 'living' training worlds can fix that.

Patronus AI, the artificial intelligence evaluation startup backed by $20 million from investors including Lightspeed Venture Partners and Datadog, unveiled a new training architecture Tuesday that it ...